Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pohlheim vs Fernwald

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Hessen matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Pohlheim
30%
Draws
31%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pohlheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pohlheim lately — more wins on the board than Fernwald.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Pohlheim Clean Sheet 16%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohlheim Fernwald
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Pohlheim vs Fernwald
1:1
Aug 12, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Pohlheim
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Pohlheim
0:0
Sep 14, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Pohlheim vs Fernwald
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohlheim 30 / 100
Fernwald 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohlheim Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pohlheim Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pohlheim's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fernwald's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Pohlheim went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pohlheim VS Fernwald
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohlheim

(Home)
12 Sept
Darmstadt U21
2 : 3
Pohlheim
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
06 Sept
Pohlheim
2 : 3
Baunatal
29 Aug
Hadamar
0 : 2
Pohlheim
23 Aug
Pohlheim
2 : 1
CSC 03 Kassel
Page 1 of 6

Fernwald

(Away)
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
05 Sept
VfB Marburg
0 : 2
Fernwald
28 Aug
Fernwald
3 : 3
Hanauer SC
23 Aug
Kassel 2
1 : 2
Fernwald
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unter-Flockenbach 9 7 1 1 29:12 22
2 Eddersheim 9 5 3 1 23:17 18
3 Stadtallendorf 9 5 2 2 24:8 17
4 VfB Marburg 9 5 2 2 14:11 17
5 Pohlheim 9 5 2 2 17:14 17
6 Hadamar 9 5 2 2 18:16 17
7 Hunfelder 9 5 1 3 17:13 16
8 Turk Gucu Friedberg 9 4 3 2 17:17 15
9 Darmstadt U21 9 4 3 2 22:12 15
10 Fernwald 9 3 4 2 16:14 13
11 RW Walldorf 10 3 1 6 16:24 10
12 CSC 03 Kassel 9 3 1 5 11:21 10
13 Kassel 2 9 2 2 5 12:15 8
14 Baunatal 9 2 2 5 11:17 8
15 Alzenau 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
16 Hanauer SC 10 1 3 6 18:29 6
17 Giessen 9 1 3 5 13:21 6
18 Hummetroth 9 1 2 6 12:21 5
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen (Relegation)