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Stadium Background

Poland U17 W vs Netherlands U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Wisniewska M.
31' Event
Deitelzweig K.
40' Event
Prochwicz L.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U17 Women 2026 game between Poland U17 W and Netherlands U17 W finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Poland U17 W
15%
Draws
51%
Netherlands U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Netherlands U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Netherlands U17 W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Poland U17 W Clean Sheet 14%
Netherlands U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U17 W Netherlands U17 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 22
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.97 2.83
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 Euro U17 Women
Poland U17 W vs Netherlands U17 W
4:3
Oct 13, 2007 Euro U17 Women
Netherlands U17 W vs Poland U17 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Galuszka N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wisniewska M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Netherlands U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Deitelzweig K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendes Ros U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U17 W 10 / 100
Netherlands U17 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U17 W Netherlands U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Poland U17 W scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Netherlands U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Poland U17 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poland U17 W VS Netherlands U17 W
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U17 W

(Home)
15 Sept
Austria U17 W
2 : 0
Poland U17 W
12 Sept
Austria U17 W
3 : 2
Poland U17 W
14 May
England U17 W
0 : 2
Poland U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
Finland U17 W
0 : 1
Poland U17 W
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Netherlands U17 W

(Away)
17 Mar
Poland U17 W
4 : 3
Netherlands U17 W
14 Mar
Netherlands U17 W
3 : 0
Slovakia U17 W
11 Mar
Netherlands U17 W
5 : 0
Wales U17 W
18 Feb
France U17 W
0 : 2
Netherlands U17 W
08 Nov
North Korea U17 W
3 : 0
Netherlands U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 W 3 2 1 0 5:2 7
2 Denmark U17 W 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
3 Sweden U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Ireland U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 W 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Croatia U17 W 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Italy U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Turkey U17 W 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Finland U17 W 3 2 1 0 11:1 7
2 Czech Republic U17 W 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
3 Romania U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Latvia U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Austria U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Iceland U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:3 3
4 Serbia U17 W 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:2 9
2 Scotland U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Switzerland U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Greece U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 3 2 1 0 15:1 7
2 Portugal U17 W 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
3 Hungary U17 W 3 1 0 2 9:11 3
4 Kosovo U17 W 3 0 0 3 3:19 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U17 W 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 Netherlands U17 W 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Slovakia U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Wales U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Main)