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Stadium Background

Poland U21 vs Georgia U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Stadion pod Dubnom (MSK Zilina), Žilina
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Azarovi I.
26'
Marczuk D.
49'
Maisuradze G.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Poland U21 and Georgia U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Georgia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Poland U21
15%
Draws
18%
Georgia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Poland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Poland U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Poland U21 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Poland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Georgia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U21 Georgia U21
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.09 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2025 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs Georgia U21
1:2
Oct 16, 2018 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs Georgia U21
3:0
Sep 1, 2017 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Poland U21
0:3
Sep 9, 2008 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Poland U21
0:5
Aug 22, 2007 Euro U21
Poland U21 vs Georgia U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Georgia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lominadze N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gordeziani V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U21 85 / 100
Georgia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U21 Georgia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland U21 scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Poland U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Georgia U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Poland U21 VS Georgia U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1
Armenia U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6
Poland U21
Page 1 of 7

Georgia U21

(Away)
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
05 Jun
USA U20
1 : 0
Georgia U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
18 Nov
Georgia U21
0 : 2
Germany U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Italy U21 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Slovakia U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Romania U21 3 0 0 3 2:5 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 England U21 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Czech Republic U21 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
4 Slovenia U21 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 France U21 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Georgia U21 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Poland U21 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 3 2 1 0 7:5 7
2 Netherlands U21 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Ukraine U21 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Finland U21 3 0 2 1 4:6 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Play Offs)