Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Poland W vs Belgium W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Poland W at 1.68 goals for, 1.45 against; Belgium W at 2.13 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Poland W have won 0 to Belgium W's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 30, 2021, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.13 - 2.13) back Belgium W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Poland W
20%
Draws
80%
Belgium W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Belgium W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Belgium W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Belgium W taking it.
  • Belgium W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Belgium W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belgium W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Poland W Clean Sheet 10%
Belgium W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland W Belgium W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 15 16
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.68 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2021 World Cup Women
Belgium W vs Poland W
4:0
Sep 17, 2021 World Cup Women
Poland W vs Belgium W
1:1
Sep 16, 2015 Friendly International Women
Belgium W vs Poland W
5:0
Nov 22, 2014 Friendly International Women
Poland W vs Belgium W
1:4
Feb 8, 2014 Friendly International Women
Belgium W vs Poland W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland W 10 / 100
Belgium W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland W Belgium W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Poland W scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Belgium W conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Poland W VS Belgium W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 7

Belgium W

(Away)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Belgium W
5 : 0
Israel W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W -
Ireland W -
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -