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Poland W vs Romania W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Polsat Plus Arena, Gdansk
Poland W Logo

Poland W

3 - 0
FT
Romania W Logo

Romania W

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Kamczyk E.
Assist: Tomasiak P.
45'
Vatafu S.
46'
Sub
Padilla N. In: Zawistowska W.
Out: Padilla N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Poland W in this UEFA Nations League Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Poland W
15%
Draws
85%
Romania W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Romania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Poland W have won more games recently than Romania W.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Romania W taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Poland W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Poland W Clean Sheet 16%
Romania W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland W Romania W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Poland W vs Romania W
3:0
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Romania W vs Poland W
0:1
Oct 29, 2024 Euro Women
Poland W vs Romania W
4:1
Oct 25, 2024 Euro Women
Romania W vs Poland W
1:2
Nov 11, 2022 Friendly International Women
Poland W vs Romania W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamczyk E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomasiak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Romania W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland W 10 / 100
Romania W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland W Romania W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romania W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Poland W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Romania W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Poland W VS Romania W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.57
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.29
75% Over 1.5 57%
63% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 6

Romania W

(Away)
05 Jun
Moldova W
0 : 0
Romania W
18 Apr
Romania W
3 : 0
Cyprus W
07 Mar
Cyprus W
0 : 4
Romania W
03 Mar
Romania W
1 : 0
Moldova W
02 Dec
Romania W
2 : 0
Moldova W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland W 6 5 1 0 16:2 16
2 Northern Ireland W 6 2 2 2 6:10 8
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina W 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Romania W 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia W 6 5 0 1 12:2 15
2 Ireland W 6 5 0 1 10:6 15
3 Turkey W 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
4 Greece W 6 0 0 6 2:12 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia W 6 4 2 0 7:1 14
2 Finland W 6 3 2 1 8:2 11
3 Hungary W 6 1 1 4 2:6 4
4 Belarus W 6 0 3 3 0:8 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine W 6 4 1 1 8:6 13
2 Czech Republic W 6 4 1 1 17:4 13
3 Albania W 6 2 0 4 10:12 6
4 Croatia W 6 1 0 5 4:17 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League A)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League C)