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Stadium Background

Poli Iasi vs Ceahlaul

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Emil Alexandrescu, Iaşi
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Camara S.
10'
Asibey E.
14'
Tiehi J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025/2026 game between Poli Iasi and Ceahlaul finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poli Iasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Poli Iasi
20%
Draws
16%
Ceahlaul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Poli Iasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ceahlaul haven't matched Poli Iasi's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Poli Iasi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Poli Iasi Clean Sheet 68%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poli Iasi Ceahlaul
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 2
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.37 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.23 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs Ceahlaul
3:0
Aug 5, 2025 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs Ceahlaul
0:1
Sep 10, 2023 Club Friendly
Ceahlaul vs Poli Iasi
3:2
Apr 30, 2015 Superliga
Poli Iasi vs Ceahlaul
2:0
Oct 25, 2014 Superliga
Ceahlaul vs Poli Iasi
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poli Iasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiehi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.98

Ceahlaul Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poli Iasi 95 / 100
Ceahlaul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poli Iasi Ceahlaul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poli Iasi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceahlaul let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Poli Iasi's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ceahlaul lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poli Iasi VS Ceahlaul
0.67 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 3.25
33% Over 1.5 100%
17% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Poli Iasi

(Home)
09 May
CSM Slatina
1 : 0
Poli Iasi
02 May
Poli Iasi
2 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
25 Apr
Poli Iasi
1 : 0
Campulung
18 Apr
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0
Poli Iasi
10 Apr
Poli Iasi
0 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
Page 1 of 6

Ceahlaul

(Away)
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
19 Sept
Ceahlaul
1 : 1
Odorheiu
12 Sept
ACS USV Iasi
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
05 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 4
Bradul Putna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC ASA Tg. Mures 7 4 2 1 16:7 51
2 Metalul Buzau 7 6 0 1 16:6 50
3 CSM Slatina 7 5 2 0 13:4 43
4 Poli Iasi 7 3 1 3 7:6 41
5 Gloria Bistrita 7 2 2 3 10:8 34
6 CS Din. Bucuresti 7 3 0 4 9:10 25
7 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 4:19 20
8 Campulung 7 0 1 6 4:19 11
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 7 3 0 4 7:11 42
2 Concordia 7 4 2 1 10:5 41
3 CSM Resita 7 2 1 4 6:10 40
4 Afumati 7 2 1 4 8:9 37
5 CSC Dumbravita 7 2 1 4 6:7 32
6 Selimbar 7 3 1 3 8:9 30
7 CSM Satu Mare 7 4 2 1 16:9 28
8 Tunari 7 3 2 2 9:10 27
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)