Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Poli Iasi vs Gloria Bistrita

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Stadionul Emil Alexandrescu
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Poli Iasi play Gloria Bistrita in the Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Poli Iasi averaged 1.32 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. Gloria Bistrita averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. In past meetings, Poli Iasi won 1, Gloria Bistrita won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 2, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Poli Iasi and 1.31 for Gloria Bistrita. This points to a Poli Iasi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Poli Iasi
16%
Draws
38%
Gloria Bistrita
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Poli Iasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Poli Iasi picked up more points recently compared to Gloria Bistrita.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Poli Iasi Clean Sheet 18%
Gloria Bistrita Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poli Iasi Gloria Bistrita
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs Gloria Bistrita
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs Gloria Bistrita
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poli Iasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farcas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gloria Bistrita Compare

Top Goalscorer King J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lehaire M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poli Iasi 45 / 100
Gloria Bistrita 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poli Iasi Gloria Bistrita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Poli Iasi or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Poli Iasi attacking → ← attacking Gloria Bistrita

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poli Iasi scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Gloria Bistrita let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Poli Iasi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gloria Bistrita lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 41
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC ASA Tg. Mures742116:751
2Metalul Buzau760116:650
3CSM Slatina752013:443
4Poli Iasi73137:641
5Gloria Bistrita722310:834
6CS Din. Bucuresti73049:1025
7Ceahlaul70254:1920
8Campulung70164:1911
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1FC Bacau73047:1142
2Concordia742110:541
3CSM Resita72146:1040
4Afumati72148:937
5CSC Dumbravita72146:732
6Selimbar73138:930
7CSM Satu Mare742116:928
8Tunari73229:1027