Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Poli Iasi vs Gloria Bistrita

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Emil Alexandrescu, Iaşi
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
King J.
42'
Dumitru A.
46'
Sub
Istratie B. In: Tiehi J.
Out: Istratie B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Poli Iasi
20%
Draws
40%
Gloria Bistrita
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gloria Bistrita lately — more wins on the board than Poli Iasi.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Poli Iasi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Poli Iasi Clean Sheet 16%
Gloria Bistrita Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poli Iasi Gloria Bistrita
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.23 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs Gloria Bistrita
2:2
Aug 19, 2025 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs Gloria Bistrita
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poli Iasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Farcas R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Gloria Bistrita Compare

Top Goalscorer King J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lehaire M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poli Iasi 41 / 100
Gloria Bistrita 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poli Iasi Gloria Bistrita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Poli Iasi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Gloria Bistrita has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Gloria Bistrita let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Poli Iasi VS Gloria Bistrita
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Poli Iasi

(Home)
09 May
CSM Slatina
1 : 0
Poli Iasi
02 May
Poli Iasi
2 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
25 Apr
Poli Iasi
1 : 0
Campulung
18 Apr
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0
Poli Iasi
10 Apr
Poli Iasi
0 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
Page 1 of 6

Gloria Bistrita

(Away)
26 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
19 Sept
Steaua Bucuresti
2 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
12 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
2 : 3
Popesti Leordeni
05 Sept
Stefanesti
1 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
02 Sept
Gloria Bistrita
0 : 2
Miercurea Ciuc
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC ASA Tg. Mures 7 4 2 1 16:7 51
2 Metalul Buzau 7 6 0 1 16:6 50
3 CSM Slatina 7 5 2 0 13:4 43
4 Poli Iasi 7 3 1 3 7:6 41
5 Gloria Bistrita 7 2 2 3 10:8 34
6 CS Din. Bucuresti 7 3 0 4 9:10 25
7 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 4:19 20
8 Campulung 7 0 1 6 4:19 11
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 7 3 0 4 7:11 42
2 Concordia 7 4 2 1 10:5 41
3 CSM Resita 7 2 1 4 6:10 40
4 Afumati 7 2 1 4 8:9 37
5 CSC Dumbravita 7 2 1 4 6:7 32
6 Selimbar 7 3 1 3 8:9 30
7 CSM Satu Mare 7 4 2 1 16:9 28
8 Tunari 7 3 2 2 9:10 27
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)