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Police FC vs Bidco United

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police FC play Bidco United in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Police FC averaged 0.91 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. Bidco United averaged 0.53 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Police FC won 4, Bidco United won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 2, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Police FC and 0.32 for Bidco United. This points to a Police FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Police FC
34%
Draws
15%
Bidco United
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Police FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Police FC picked up more points recently compared to Bidco United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 0.32 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 52%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Police FC Clean Sheet 33%
Bidco United Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 47%
Second Half Goal 49%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police FC Bidco United
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 15 11
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 0.91 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.65 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Police FC vs Bidco United
1:1
Nov 26, 2025 Premier League
Bidco United vs Police FC
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Bidco United
2:0
Dec 11, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Police FC
0:3
Jan 14, 2024 Premier League
Bidco United vs Police FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Koutiama Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Bidco United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kinyili V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police FC 53 / 100
Bidco United 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police FC Bidco United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Police FC or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +31.5%
5.26
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Police FC attacking → ← attacking Bidco United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police FC scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Bidco United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Police FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bidco United lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 20
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mahia34209550:2269
2Leopards34197844:2864
3Police FC341316531:2155
4Nairobi United341411944:3453
5Shabana3414101035:3452
6Kakamega Homeboyz341213947:3749
7KCB341391236:3748
8Muranga341381342:4147
9Tusker341361527:3245
10APS Bomet3411111237:3544
11Mara Sugar3410141030:3044
12Bandari34917826:2644
13Ulinzi Stars341181534:3741
14Mathare United341181531:3541
15Posta Rangers349131231:4040
16Kariobangi Sharks348141230:3338
17Bidco United345121719:4027
18Sofapaka343102119:5119