Sport Picks

Kenya

Premier League

Police FC

1 - 1

Kakamega Homeboyz

Our Tip

Match Events

Koutiama Y.

Machaka O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Police FC and Kakamega Homeboyz finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Police FC

28%

Draws

22%

Kakamega Homeboyz

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Police FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Police FC carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Police FC a 50% chance of winning this.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Police FC Clean Sheet 68%

Kakamega Homeboyz Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Police FC	Kakamega Homeboyz
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	9
Draws	14	12
Losses	5	9
Goals Scored	1.13	0.75
Goals Conceded	0.25	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premier League

Police FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Dec 22, 2025 Premier League

Kakamega Homeboyz vs Police FC

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 4 - 4

2:2

May 14, 2025 Premier League

Kakamega Homeboyz vs Police FC

Possession: 43% - 46% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Dec 21, 2024 Premier League

Police FC vs Kakamega Homeboyz

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

May 5, 2024 Premier League

Kakamega Homeboyz vs Police FC

Possession: 42% - 46% Cards: 2 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Koutiama Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Kakamega Homeboyz Compare

Top Goalscorer Machaka O.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police FC 59 / 100

Kakamega Homeboyz 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Police FC Kakamega Homeboyz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kakamega Homeboyz let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Police FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Police FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police FC VS Kakamega Homeboyz

1.13 Goals Scored 0.75

0.25 Goals Conceded 1.38

38% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mahia	34	20	9	5	50:22	69
2	Leopards	34	19	7	8	44:28	64
3	Police FC	34	13	16	5	31:21	55
4	Nairobi United	34	14	11	9	44:34	53
5	Shabana	34	14	10	10	35:34	52
6	Kakamega Homeboyz	34	12	13	9	47:37	49
7	KCB	34	13	9	12	36:37	48
8	Muranga	34	13	8	13	42:41	47
9	Tusker	34	13	6	15	27:32	45
10	APS Bomet	34	11	11	12	37:35	44
11	Mara Sugar	34	10	14	10	30:30	44
12	Bandari	34	9	17	8	26:26	44
13	Ulinzi Stars	34	11	8	15	34:37	41
14	Mathare United	34	11	8	15	31:35	41
15	Posta Rangers	34	9	13	12	31:40	40
16	Kariobangi Sharks	34	8	14	12	30:33	38
17	Bidco United	34	5	12	17	19:40	27
18	Sofapaka	34	3	10	21	19:51	19