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Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Fri, Sep 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police FC host Ulinzi Stars in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Police FC have averaged 1.04 scored and 0.6 conceded recently, against Ulinzi Stars's 1.04 scored and 1.13 conceded. Head-to-head, Police FC have won 0 to Ulinzi Stars's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Sep 18, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.26 - 0.56) back Police FC to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Police FC
30%
Draws
42%
Ulinzi Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulinzi Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Police FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 28% — that's where the model lands on Police FC taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Police FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ulinzi Stars Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police FC Ulinzi Stars
Matches Played 25 24
Wins 11 9
Draws 11 4
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.04 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.6 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.26 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Premier League
Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Police FC
1:1
Oct 1, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Police FC vs Ulinzi Stars
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Premier League
Ulinzi Stars vs Police FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police FC 40 / 100
Ulinzi Stars 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police FC Ulinzi Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Police FC scored in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Ulinzi Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 24 matches.

Recent resilience: Police FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Police FC VS Ulinzi Stars
0.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
38% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Police FC

(Home)
14 Jun
Tusker
2 : 1
Police FC
31 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
27 May
Police FC
1 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
24 May
Nairobi United
0 : 0
Police FC
16 May
Police FC
1 : 0
Bandari
Page 1 of 5

Ulinzi Stars

(Away)
11 Oct
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Tusker
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0
Tusker
23 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 1
Mathare United
13 May
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Leopards
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shabana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Mathare United 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 APS Bomet 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Ulinzi Stars 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Tusker 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Mahia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Leopards 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 KCB 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Bandari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Kakamega Homeboyz 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Police FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Migori 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Muranga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Mombasa United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mara Sugar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Nairobi United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 3K FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Posta Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)