Sport Picks
Police Tero vs Phrae United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Thailand
Thai League 2 2025/2026 Boonyachinda Stadium, Bangkok 
Match Events
41'
41'
Judivan
45'
45'
Honny I.
56'
56'
Jiraphaksiri W.
AI Match Summary
The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Police Tero and Phrae United finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police Tero.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Police Tero
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Phrae United haven't matched Police Tero's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Police Tero's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Police Tero Clean Sheet 20%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Police Tero | Phrae United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Phrae United
3:1
Dec 14, 2025 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Police Tero
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Thai League 2
Police Tero vs Phrae United
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Police Tero
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Police Tero Compare
Top Goalscorer Honny I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jiraphaksiri W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Phrae United Compare
Top Goalscorer Judivan
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Police Tero 42 / 100
Phrae United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Police Tero Phrae United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.
Police Tero found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Phrae United has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Away concern: Phrae United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Police Tero VS Phrae United
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Police Tero
(Home) 19 Sept
Khonkaen United
2 : 0 Police Tero
15 Sept
Police Tero
0 : 3 Songkhla
11 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3 Police Tero
06 Sept
Police Tero
1 : 0 Muang Loei Utd
29 Aug
Muang Thong Utd
2 : 0 Police Tero
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Police Tero
0 : 3 Songkhla
06 Sept
Police Tero
1 : 0 Muang Loei Utd
03 May
Police Tero
2 : 1 Nong Bua Pitchaya
18 Apr
Police Tero
3 : 1 Phrae United
22 Mar
Police Tero
2 : 1 Sisaket United
Page 1 of 3
Phrae United
(Away) 20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3 Phrae United
17 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
2 : 0 Phrae United
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0 Nakhon Pathom
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2 Nakhon Pathom
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Pattaya United
0 : 3 Phrae United
17 Sept
Muang Loei Utd
2 : 0 Phrae United
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1 Phrae United
18 Apr
Police Tero
3 : 1 Phrae United
21 Mar
Rasisalai United
2 : 2 Phrae United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rasisalai United | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 64:35 | 71 |
| 2 | Sisaket United | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 49:31 | 60 |
| 3 | Pattani | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 4 | Nong Bua Pitchaya | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 59:59 | 54 |
| 5 | Police Tero | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Chainat Hornbill | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 50:46 | 46 |
| 7 | Khonkaen United | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 60:52 | 45 |
| 8 | Mahasarakham | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:42 | 45 |
| 9 | Trat FC | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 49:53 | 44 |
| 10 | Chiangmai United | 34 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 55:58 | 43 |
| 11 | Phrae United | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 40:50 | 43 |
| 12 | Pattaya United | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 45:42 | 42 |
| 13 | Songkhla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:46 | 41 |
| 14 | Chanthaburi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 15 | Nakhon Pathom | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 29:37 | 39 |
| 16 | Kasetsart | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 46:49 | 38 |
| 17 | Nakhon Si United | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 32:54 | 36 |
| 18 | Bangkok FC | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 40:56 | 35 |
| 19 | Lampang F.C. | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
