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Police vs ASPAC

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 2024/2025
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2024/2025 game between Police and ASPAC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Police
20%
Draws
40%
ASPAC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Police haven't matched ASPAC's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Police taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Police Clean Sheet 20%
ASPAC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police ASPAC
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 9 21
Draws 10 14
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.57
Goals Conceded 1 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Police
0:0
Jan 3, 2025 Ligue 1
Police vs ASPAC
2:2
Jan 13, 2024 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Police
3:2
Dec 3, 2023 Ligue 1
Police vs ASPAC
0:1
Dec 23, 2022 Ligue 1
Police vs ASPAC
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 42 / 100
ASPAC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police ASPAC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

ASPAC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 42 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Police has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS ASPAC
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
07 Jun
Coton FC
2 : 1
Police
31 May
Police
4 : 1
Requins de l'Atlantique FC
24 May
ASPAC
0 : 0
Police
18 May
Police
2 : 0
ASVO
10 May
Adjidja
0 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

ASPAC

(Away)
10 Sept
Panthers
1 : 3
ASPAC
20 Jun
ASPAC
1 : 1
Cavaliers
13 Jun
Loto
1 : 0
ASPAC
06 Jun
ASPAC
2 : 0
ASVO
30 May
Dynamo Abomey
1 : 2
ASPAC
Page 1 of 9

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dadje 34 17 12 5 44:26 63
2 Cavaliers 34 16 11 7 41:26 59
3 Espoir Savalou 34 17 8 9 36:23 59
4 Loto 34 15 12 7 36:24 57
5 Dynamo Abomey 34 15 11 8 34:21 56
6 Damissa 34 15 10 9 38:24 55
7 Hodio 34 14 13 7 28:21 55
8 Bani Ganse 34 13 12 9 33:26 51
9 Buffles du Borgou 34 12 15 7 21:14 51
10 Pantheres FC 34 14 9 11 37:34 51
11 Bembereke 34 10 8 16 28:35 38
12 Takunnin 34 9 8 17 30:37 35
13 Abeilles 34 8 10 16 26:33 34
14 Boa 34 7 13 14 29:41 34
15 Dynamique Djougou 34 6 13 15 21:41 31
16 Dynamo Parakou 34 7 10 17 19:39 31
17 Real Sport 34 6 12 16 27:48 30
18 Tonnerre 34 6 11 17 24:39 29
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coton FC 32 16 12 4 34:16 60
2 Dragons 32 14 13 5 43:28 55
3 Ayema 32 16 7 9 37:21 55
4 Sobemap 32 13 15 4 40:23 54
5 Krake 32 13 12 7 35:26 51
6 ASVO 32 12 14 6 36:20 50
7 JS Pob 32 12 13 7 29:23 49
8 AS Cotonou 32 12 10 10 30:23 46
9 ASPAC 32 10 15 7 34:28 45
10 Police 32 10 11 11 29:31 41
11 Adjidja 32 9 13 10 21:23 40
12 Avrankou Omnisport 32 10 6 16 29:41 36
13 Sitatunga 32 7 14 11 25:35 35
14 Requins de l'Atlantique FC 32 8 10 14 31:41 34
15 JAK 32 7 8 17 26:43 29
16 Aziza 32 4 10 18 21:46 22
17 Etoiles Filantes 32 4 7 21 17:49 19
18 Ouidah 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)