Sport Picks
Police vs Mbarara City
Uganda
Premier League Kiira Road Police Arena, Kampala 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Police and Mbarara City finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Police carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Police's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Police | Mbarara City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 0.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Police Compare
Mbarara City Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Police's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Mbarara City has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Police remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Police
(Home)Mbarara City
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Lugazi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 8 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Express FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Kampala City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Vipers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Maroons | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Uganda Revenue | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Kitara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 16 | Kataka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 17 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
