Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Police vs Nouadhibou

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Mahmoud A.
60' Event
Diallo S.
90'

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Police and Nouadhibou finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Police
30%
Draws
62%
Nouadhibou
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nouadhibou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Nouadhibou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nouadhibou's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nouadhibou have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Police Clean Sheet 10%
Nouadhibou Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Nouadhibou
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 11 10
Losses 14 3
Goals Scored 0.97 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Police
4:1
Dec 27, 2025 Ligue 1
Police vs Nouadhibou
1:1
Feb 27, 2023 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Police
3:0
Oct 23, 2022 Ligue 1
Police vs Nouadhibou
0:1
May 20, 2022 Ligue 1
Nouadhibou vs Police
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Nouadhibou Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahmoud A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 10 / 100
Nouadhibou 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Nouadhibou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouadhibou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Defensive concern: Nouadhibou conceded in 43% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Police stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Nouadhibou
0.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
12 Apr
Nouakchott Academy
0 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

Nouadhibou

(Away)
13 Sept
Nouadhibou
0 : 0
Vipers
05 Sept
Vipers
1 : 1
Nouadhibou
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
17 May
Nouakchott King's
3 : 2
Nouadhibou
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)