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Police vs Nouakchott Academy

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Diarra H.

AI Match Summary

Nouakchott Academy in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nouakchott Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Police
30%
Draws
64%
Nouakchott Academy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nouakchott Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nouakchott Academy lately — more wins on the board than Police.
  • Win probability leans Nouakchott Academy's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Police Clean Sheet 20%
Nouakchott Academy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Nouakchott Academy
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 5 10
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Ligue 1
Nouakchott Academy vs Police
0:0
Dec 14, 2025 Ligue 1
Police vs Nouakchott Academy
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Nouakchott Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Diarra H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 10 / 100
Nouakchott Academy 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Nouakchott Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nouakchott Academy Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Nouakchott Academy conceded in 50% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 0.50 goals.

Solid form: Police remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Nouakchott Academy
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
12 Apr
Nouakchott Academy
0 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

Nouakchott Academy

(Away)
24 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 1
SNIM
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
07 May
Nouakchott King's
1 : 2
Nouakchott Academy
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)