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Stadium Background

Police vs Nzeidane

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Police Logo

Police

1 - 2
FT
Nzeidane Logo

Nzeidane

Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Ndiaye Y.
90' Event
Sow G. C.
90' Event
Ekbad M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nzeidane in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nzeidane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Police
30%
Draws
64%
Nzeidane
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nzeidane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Nzeidane lately — more wins on the board than Police.
  • Nzeidane are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Police Clean Sheet 17%
Nzeidane Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Nzeidane
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Police vs Nzeidane
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Nzeidane vs Police
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Nzeidane Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow G. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ekbad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 10 / 100
Nzeidane 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Nzeidane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NZE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Nzeidane conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Police went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Nzeidane
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
12 Apr
Nouakchott Academy
0 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

Nzeidane

(Away)
25 May
Nzeidane
3 : 0
Douane
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
10 May
Nzeidane
4 : 1
Tevragh-Zeina
03 May
Nzeidane
1 : 1
Gendrim
29 Apr
Nzeidane
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)