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Police vs Pompiers

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Police Logo

Police

1 - 1
FT
Pompiers Logo

Pompiers

Our Tip

Match Events

73' Event
El Hacen M.
90' Event
Bagayoko M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Police and Pompiers finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Police
30%
Draws
62%
Pompiers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pompiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Pompiers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pompiers's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Police Clean Sheet 18%
Pompiers Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Pompiers
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 11
Draws 11 13
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 0.97 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.27 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Police
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Police vs Pompiers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Bagayoko M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Pompiers Compare

Top Goalscorer El Hacen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 12 / 100
Pompiers 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Pompiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Pompiers has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Police stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Pompiers
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
12 Apr
Nouakchott Academy
0 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

Pompiers

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)