Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Police vs South Stars

Grenada Grenada

Premier Division 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police play South Stars in the Premier Division 2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, Police averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. South Stars averaged 0.84 goals scored and 3.03 conceded. In past meetings, Police won 0, South Stars won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 23, 2007 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Police and 1.50 for South Stars. This points to a South Stars double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Police
25%
Draws
43%
South Stars
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: South Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Police picked up more points recently compared to South Stars.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Police Clean Sheet 16%
South Stars Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police South Stars
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 4
Draws 10 5
Losses 17 22
Goals Scored 0.77 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.87 3.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2007 Premier Division
South Stars vs Police
3:0
Jul 8, 2007 Premier Division
Police vs South Stars
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 32 / 100
South Stars 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police South Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Stars or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Police attacking → ← attacking South Stars

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

South Stars let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Police went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Stars lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

19 Points in last 5 17
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00