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Police vs Uganda Revenue

Uganda Uganda

Premier League Kiira Road Police Arena, Kampala
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lubwama J.
15' Event
Tezikya L.
70' Event
Ikamba B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Police and Uganda Revenue finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Police
30%
Draws
34%
Uganda Revenue
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Police

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Police come out ahead of Uganda Revenue on wins alone.
  • Police are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Police Clean Sheet 68%
Uganda Revenue Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police Uganda Revenue
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 15
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Premier League
Police vs Uganda Revenue
2:1
Jan 31, 2026 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Police
0:0
Apr 25, 2025 Premier League
Police vs Uganda Revenue
2:0
Jan 7, 2025 Premier League
Uganda Revenue vs Police
1:0
Apr 22, 2022 Premier League
Police vs Uganda Revenue
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Tezikya L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikamba B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Uganda Revenue Compare

Top Goalscorer Lubwama J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police 46 / 100
Uganda Revenue 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police Uganda Revenue

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Police scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Police went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Uganda Revenue let in goals in 58% of their last 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Police VS Uganda Revenue
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Police

(Home)
23 May
Kitara
2 : 2
Police
19 May
Police
1 : 1
Entebbe UPPC
12 May
Police
0 : 0
Vipers
06 May
Calvary
1 : 0
Police
29 Apr
Police
2 : 0
UPDF FC
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Uganda Revenue

(Away)
22 May
Buhimba
0 : 3
Uganda Revenue
19 May
Uganda Revenue
0 : 0
Kampala City
16 May
Villa
1 : 0
Uganda Revenue
12 May
Uganda Revenue
1 : 1
Calvary
08 May
Vipers
1 : 1
Uganda Revenue
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vipers301910155:1767
2Kampala City30195646:2262
3Villa30187547:1761
4Kitara30168643:2256
5Entebbe UPPC30149730:2051
6NEC FC301312531:2251
7Police30138942:3547
8Maroons309111026:2738
9BUL309101130:3337
10Express FC309101128:3137
11Uganda Revenue30516927:3031
12Mbarara City30691526:4627
13Lugazi305101519:3625
14UPDF FC30571824:4122
15Calvary30491714:3921
16Buhimba30432316:6615
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League 2026/2027 (Main)