Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Police host Villa in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Police have averaged 1.3 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Villa's 1.58 scored and 0.42 conceded. Head-to-head, Police have won 1 to Villa's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 10, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.81 - 1.13) back Villa to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Villa have won more games recently than Police.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Police | Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.58 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.42 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Police found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Police remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Villa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 32% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Police
(Home)Villa
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BUL | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Villa | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 10 |
| 4 | Blacks Power | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Police | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 6 | Entebbe UPPC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Lugazi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 8 | UPDF FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 5 |
| 9 | Express FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 10 | Kampala City | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | 4 |
| 11 | Vipers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 12 | Maroons | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 13 | Uganda Revenue | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 14 | Kitara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 15 | Mbarara City | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:1 | 2 |
| 16 | Kataka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 17 | Kigezi HomeBoyz | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 18 | Ntugasaze | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
