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Police XI vs Morupule

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police XI in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Police XI.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Police XI
35%
Draws
32%
Morupule
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Police XI haven't matched Morupule's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Police XI Clean Sheet 20%
Morupule Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police XI Morupule
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.61 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.77 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Premier League
Police XI vs Morupule
2:0
May 23, 2026 Premier League
Morupule vs Police XI
2:0
Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Police XI vs Morupule
0:0
Feb 11, 2024 Premier League
Morupule vs Police XI
1:1
Jan 17, 2024 Premier League
Police XI vs Morupule
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police XI 32 / 100
Morupule 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police XI Morupule

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Morupule conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Police XI has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Police XI found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Police XI VS Morupule
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Police XI

(Home)
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0
Orapa United
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
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Morupule

(Away)
12 Sept
Morupule
1 : 1
Township Rollers
05 Sept
Morupule
0 : 0
Sua Flamingoes
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Morupule
3 : 1
Jwaneng Galaxy
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
2 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Extension Gunners 2 2 0 0 2:0 6
4 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 Tonota 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Centre Chiefs 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
7 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
8 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
9 Tafic FC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
10 Nico United 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
11 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
12 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
13 Township Rollers 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Prisons XI Gaborone 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
16 Matebele 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)