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Police XI vs Orapa United

Botswana Botswana

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Police XI and Orapa United finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Police XI
35%
Draws
28%
Orapa United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Police XI

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Orapa United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Police XI Clean Sheet 68%
Orapa United Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police XI Orapa United
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 11
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.62 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.83 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Premier League
Police XI vs Orapa United
0:0
May 13, 2026 Premier League
Orapa United vs Police XI
0:0
Aug 17, 2025 Premier League
Police XI vs Orapa United
0:0
Apr 6, 2024 Premier League
Police XI vs Orapa United
0:2
Nov 24, 2023 Premier League
Orapa United vs Police XI
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police XI 41 / 100
Orapa United 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police XI Orapa United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police XI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Police XI stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Police XI scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Orapa United has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 0.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Police XI VS Orapa United
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Police XI

(Home)
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0
Orapa United
05 Sept
Matebele
0 : 1
Police XI
30 Aug
Police XI
2 : 0
Morupule
23 May
Morupule
2 : 0
Police XI
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
Page 1 of 6

Orapa United

(Away)
19 Sept
Police XI
0 : 0
Orapa United
12 Sept
Orapa United
0 : 1
Tafic FC
29 Aug
Orapa United
1 : 1
Enesia
23 May
Orapa United
1 : 0
Nico United
13 May
Orapa United
0 : 0
Police XI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sua Flamingoes 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
2 Police XI 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
3 Extension Gunners 3 2 0 1 2:3 6
4 Enesia 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
5 Tonota 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
6 Township Rollers 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
7 Centre Chiefs 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
8 BDF XI 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
9 Gaborone Utd 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
10 Tafic FC 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
11 Nico United 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
12 Orapa United 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
13 Morupule 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
14 Jwaneng Galaxy 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Prisons XI Gaborone 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
16 Matebele 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)