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Policia vs Chuac Lun

Macao Macao

Elite League 2015
Policia Logo

Policia

1 - 0
FT
Chuac Lun Logo

Chuac Lun

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2015 game between Policia and Chuac Lun finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Policia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Policia
15%
Draws
0%
Chuac Lun
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Policia come out ahead of Chuac Lun on wins alone.
  • Policia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Policia Clean Sheet 16%
Chuac Lun Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Policia Chuac Lun
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 12 3
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 22
Goals Scored 1.24 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.68 3.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2016 Elite League
Policia vs Chuac Lun
3:0
Feb 21, 2016 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Policia
0:0
Jun 12, 2015 Elite League
Policia vs Chuac Lun
1:0
Apr 3, 2015 Elite League
Chuac Lun vs Policia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Policia 84 / 100
Chuac Lun 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Policia Chuac Lun

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Policia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuac Lun let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Chuac Lun has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Policia scored in 62% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Policia VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Policia

(Home)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
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Chuac Lun

(Away)
10 Jun
Chuac Lun
1 : 5
Lai Chi
27 May
Chuac Lun
0 : 2
Sporting Macau
19 May
Kei Lun
3 : 1
Chuac Lun
07 May
Chuac Lun
1 : 7
Monte Carlo
29 Apr
Policia
3 : 0
Chuac Lun
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benfica 18 15 2 1 76:9 47
2 Tak Chun Ka I 18 15 1 2 71:16 46
3 Must IPO 18 11 2 5 50:28 35
4 Monte Carlo 18 11 2 5 39:14 35
5 Sporting Macau 18 10 4 4 41:24 34
6 Lai Chi 18 5 4 9 26:42 19
7 Policia 18 4 3 11 17:40 15
8 Chuac Lun 18 4 2 12 17:70 14
9 Casa de Portugal 18 3 3 12 22:66 12
10 Macau U23 18 0 1 17 8:58 1
Promotion - AFC Cup 2016 (Qualification)