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Policia vs Hang Sai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Macao Macao

Elite League 2021
Policia Logo

Policia

2 - 2
FT
Hang Sai Logo

Hang Sai

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Etchri J.
6' Event
Cheong L.
73' Event
Cheong L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2021 game between Policia and Hang Sai finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Policia
20%
Draws
40%
Hang Sai
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Hang Sai carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Policia Clean Sheet 20%
Hang Sai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Policia Hang Sai
Matches Played 25 32
Wins 7 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.04 2.69
Goals Conceded 1.84 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Hang Sai
2:2
May 23, 2021 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Policia
1:3
Sep 19, 2020 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Policia
2:1
May 9, 2019 Elite League
Policia vs Hang Sai
1:3
Feb 22, 2019 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Policia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Policia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cheong L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Hang Sai Compare

Top Goalscorer Etchri J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tang H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Policia 36 / 100
Hang Sai 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Policia Hang Sai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hang Sai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hang Sai conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Policia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Policia scored in 56% of their last 25 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hang Sai
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Policia

(Home)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
Page 1 of 5

Hang Sai

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
18 Jul
Artilheiros
4 : 4
Hang Sai
12 Jul
G. Universe
3 : 2
Hang Sai
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 18 18 0 0 115:4 54
2 Benfica 18 15 0 3 91:15 45
3 Tak Chun Ka I 18 11 2 5 29:30 35
4 Cheng Fung 18 10 0 8 40:44 30
5 Lun Lok 18 6 3 9 26:55 21
6 Sporting Macau 18 6 2 10 33:45 20
7 Policia 18 4 5 9 17:33 17
8 Casa de Portugal 18 4 4 10 22:68 16
9 Monte Carlo 18 2 6 10 14:46 12
10 Hang Sai 18 2 2 14 12:59 8
Promotion - AFC Cup 2022 (Qualification)