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Policia vs Tak Chun Ka I

Macao Macao

Elite League 2022
Sun, Feb 20, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Policia host Tak Chun Ka I in the Elite League 2022. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Tak Chun Ka I have shipped 5.5 goals a game lately, while Policia have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Tak Chun Ka I slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (3.35 - 0.99) back Policia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Policia
6%
Draws
4%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tak Chun Ka I at 0.88 per game, Policia at 0.
  • Win probability leans Policia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tak Chun Ka I here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Policia Clean Sheet 20%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Policia Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 5.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Elite League
Policia vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:0
Jun 13, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Tak Chun Ka I
1:2
Mar 13, 2021 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Policia
2:0
Nov 1, 2020 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Policia
2:0
Apr 25, 2019 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Policia
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Policia 85 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Policia Tak Chun Ka I

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tak Chun Ka I conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Difficult form: Tak Chun Ka I registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Policia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tak Chun Ka I
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 5.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Must IPO16160095:448
2Monte Carlo16130383:1539
3Benfica16112354:1335
4Cheng Fung1681740:2525
5Tak Chun Ka I1653825:4818
6Lun Lok1653819:4518
7CFB Macau1635813:6314
8Sporting Macau1615109:458
9Casa de Portugal1601156:861
10Policia00000:00