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Policia vs Tak Chun Ka I

Macao Macao

Elite League 2022
Sun, Feb 20, 2022
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Policia host Tak Chun Ka I in the Elite League 2022. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Tak Chun Ka I have shipped 4.27 goals a game lately, while Policia have conceded 1.84 and scored 1.04. Past meetings favor Tak Chun Ka I slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 20, 2022, ending 0:0. xG projections (3.35 - 0.99) back Policia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Policia
15%
Draws
0%
Tak Chun Ka I
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Policia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tak Chun Ka I at 1.3 per game, Policia at 1.04.
  • Win probability leans Policia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tak Chun Ka I here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Policia Clean Sheet 20%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Policia Tak Chun Ka I
Matches Played 25 33
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.04 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.84 4.27
Expected Goals (xG) 3.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Elite League
Policia vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:0
Jun 13, 2021 Elite League
Policia vs Tak Chun Ka I
1:2
Mar 13, 2021 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Policia
2:0
Nov 1, 2020 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Policia
2:0
Apr 25, 2019 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Policia
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Policia 85 / 100
Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Policia Tak Chun Ka I

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Policia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tak Chun Ka I conceded in 88% of 33 recent games.

Difficult form: Tak Chun Ka I registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Policia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tak Chun Ka I
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 5.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Policia

(Home)
13 Nov
Policia
0 : 3
Lun Lok
31 Jul
Policia
2 : 2
Hang Sai
24 Jul
Policia
1 : 0
Cheng Fung
17 Jul
Monte Carlo
0 : 2
Policia
11 Jul
Policia
0 : 3
Benfica
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Tak Chun Ka I

(Away)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 16 0 0 95:4 48
2 Monte Carlo 16 13 0 3 83:15 39
3 Benfica 16 11 2 3 54:13 35
4 Cheng Fung 16 8 1 7 40:25 25
5 Tak Chun Ka I 16 5 3 8 25:48 18
6 Lun Lok 16 5 3 8 19:45 18
7 CFB Macau 16 3 5 8 13:63 14
8 Sporting Macau 16 1 5 10 9:45 8
9 Casa de Portugal 16 0 1 15 6:86 1
10 Policia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Cup (Qualification - Play Offs)