Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polisi Tanzania vs Biashara Mara United

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Deusdedity C.
Assist: Seif Kiakala T.
41' Event
Seif Kiakala T.
Assist: Deusdedity C.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2021/2022 game between Polisi Tanzania and Biashara Mara United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polisi Tanzania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Polisi Tanzania
33%
Draws
40%
Biashara Mara United
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Biashara Mara United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polisi Tanzania come out ahead of Biashara Mara United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Biashara Mara United's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 22%
Biashara Mara United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polisi Tanzania Biashara Mara United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Biashara Mara United
2:0
Nov 30, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Polisi Tanzania
1:1
Apr 9, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Polisi Tanzania
1:1
Oct 25, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Biashara Mara United
0:1
Jul 14, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Biashara Mara United vs Polisi Tanzania
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Deusdedity C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seif Kiakala T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Biashara Mara United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polisi Tanzania 29 / 100
Biashara Mara United 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polisi Tanzania Biashara Mara United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polisi Tanzania scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Biashara Mara United conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Polisi Tanzania remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polisi Tanzania VS Biashara Mara United
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Africans30228049:874
2Simba301710341:1461
3Azam30147941:2849
4Geita Gold301210832:2646
5Namungo301011942:3441
6Kagera Sugar30912920:2539
7Coastal Union301081222:3138
8Polisi Tanzania30813921:2337
9Mbeya City30813925:2937
10Kinondoni MC308111134:3535
11Dodoma Jiji30981325:3735
12Ruvu Shooting308101228:3934
13Mtibwa Sugar307101325:3431
14Tanzania Prisons30781521:3429
15Biashara Mara United305131223:3528
16Mbeya Kwanza305101522:3925