Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polisi Tanzania vs Lipuli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Majogoro B.
63' Event
Abdallah S.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Polisi Tanzania and Lipuli finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Polisi Tanzania
15%
Draws
46%
Lipuli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lipuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Polisi Tanzania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Polisi Tanzania taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polisi Tanzania Lipuli
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.24 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Lipuli
1:1
Oct 30, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Polisi Tanzania
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Majogoro B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Lipuli Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdallah S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polisi Tanzania 59 / 100
Lipuli 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polisi Tanzania Lipuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polisi Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polisi Tanzania's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lipuli conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Polisi Tanzania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polisi Tanzania VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Polisi Tanzania

(Home)
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 8

Lipuli

(Away)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)