Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polisi Tanzania vs Mwadui

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Mwasondola J.

AI Match Summary

Polisi Tanzania in this Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polisi Tanzania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Polisi Tanzania
15%
Draws
0%
Mwadui
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polisi Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Polisi Tanzania have won more games recently than Mwadui.
  • Polisi Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polisi Tanzania Mwadui
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.25 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mwadui
1:0
Dec 18, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Polisi Tanzania
1:1
Mar 4, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Polisi Tanzania
2:1
Oct 23, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Mwadui
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwasondola J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Mwadui Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polisi Tanzania 95 / 100
Mwadui 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polisi Tanzania Mwadui

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polisi Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mwadui's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Mwadui registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Polisi Tanzania's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Polisi Tanzania VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Polisi Tanzania

(Home)
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
JKT Tanzania
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Mwadui

(Away)
18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0
Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0
Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2
Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3
Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 34 26 5 3 78:14 83
2 Young Africans 34 21 11 2 52:21 74
3 Azam 34 19 11 4 50:22 68
4 Biashara Mara United 34 13 11 10 28:32 50
5 Kinondoni MC 34 13 9 12 39:27 48
6 Polisi Tanzania 34 10 15 9 29:27 45
7 Tanzania Prisons 34 10 14 10 25:25 44
8 Dodoma Jiji 34 11 11 12 28:31 44
9 Namungo 34 10 13 11 24:31 43
10 Mbeya City 34 10 12 12 30:33 42
11 Ruvu Shooting 34 11 8 15 34:38 41
12 Kagera Sugar 34 10 10 14 34:38 40
13 Coastal Union 34 10 10 14 29:46 40
14 Mtibwa Sugar 34 10 9 15 21:31 39
15 JKT Tanzania 34 11 6 17 34:47 39
16 Gwambina 34 8 11 15 29:37 35
17 Singida Black Stars 34 9 8 17 22:41 35
18 Mwadui 34 5 4 25 24:69 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2021/2022 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2020/2021 (Relegation)