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Polisi Tanzania vs Pamba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polisi Tanzania host Pamba in the Ligi Kuu Bara. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Polisi Tanzania at 1.3 goals for, 1.63 against; Pamba at 1 for, 1.52 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.00) point toward Polisi Tanzania. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Polisi Tanzania
15%
Draws
28%
Pamba
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polisi Tanzania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Polisi Tanzania lately — more wins on the board than Pamba.
  • Polisi Tanzania are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 20%
Pamba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polisi Tanzania Pamba
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polisi Tanzania 67 / 100
Pamba 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polisi Tanzania Pamba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polisi Tanzania Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polisi Tanzania's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pamba has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Pamba's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Polisi Tanzania has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Polisi Tanzania VS Pamba
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Polisi Tanzania

(Home)
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Pamba

(Away)
08 Oct
Pamba
4 : 0
Geita Gold
13 Sept
Pamba
1 : 3
TRA United
05 Sept
JKT Tanzania
3 : 0
Pamba
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
23 Aug
Azam
2 : 1
Pamba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 6 6 0 0 16:2 18
2 Simba 6 6 0 0 11:2 18
3 Azam 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
4 Mashujaa 7 4 0 3 8:7 12
5 Singida Black Stars 7 3 2 2 14:10 11
6 Dodoma Jiji 7 3 2 2 5:5 11
7 Polisi Tanzania 7 3 1 3 10:9 10
8 Mbeya City 7 3 1 3 7:7 10
9 JKT Tanzania 7 3 1 3 9:11 10
10 Namungo 8 3 0 5 7:11 9
11 Geita Gold 7 2 1 4 9:12 7
12 Coastal Union 7 2 1 4 6:11 7
13 TRA United 7 1 3 3 6:7 6
14 Kagera Sugar 7 1 2 4 8:15 5
15 Pamba 7 1 1 5 8:13 4
16 Fountain Gate 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara (Relegation)