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Polisi Tanzania vs Singida Black Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Adam A.
Assist: Chirwa O.
62' Event
Sabato K.
Assist: Mushi D.
73' Event
Sabato K.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 game between Polisi Tanzania and Singida Black Stars finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Polisi Tanzania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Polisi Tanzania
15%
Draws
57%
Singida Black Stars
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Singida Black Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Singida Black Stars come out ahead of Polisi Tanzania on wins alone.
  • Singida Black Stars are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 13%
Singida Black Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polisi Tanzania Singida Black Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.3 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Polisi Tanzania
4:2
Apr 21, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Singida Black Stars
2:1
Nov 17, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Polisi Tanzania
1:2
May 12, 2021 Ligi Kuu Bara
Singida Black Stars vs Polisi Tanzania
1:1
Nov 21, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Singida Black Stars
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polisi Tanzania Compare

Top Goalscorer Sabato K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Singida Black Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Adam A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polisi Tanzania 14 / 100
Singida Black Stars 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polisi Tanzania Singida Black Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Singida Black Stars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Singida Black Stars let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Polisi Tanzania's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Polisi Tanzania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polisi Tanzania VS Singida Black Stars
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Polisi Tanzania

(Home)
08 Oct
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0
Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2
Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1
Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

Singida Black Stars

(Away)
13 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 0
Al-Ghazala
09 Sept
Mashujaa
2 : 1
Singida Black Stars
06 Sept
Al-Ghazala
1 : 7
Singida Black Stars
01 Sept
Singida Black Stars
3 : 2
Namungo
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2
Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 25 3 2 61:18 78
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 75:17 73
3 Azam 30 18 5 7 55:29 59
4 Fountain Gate 30 16 7 7 35:26 55
5 Namungo 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
6 Singida Black Stars 30 12 3 15 31:32 39
7 Geita Gold 30 9 10 11 35:44 37
8 Tanzania Prisons 30 10 7 13 29:38 37
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 11 4 15 26:37 37
10 Mtibwa Sugar 30 9 8 13 34:45 35
11 Kagera Sugar 30 9 8 13 23:36 35
12 Coastal Union 30 8 9 13 25:35 33
13 Kinondoni MC 30 8 8 14 25:31 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 10 13 34:44 31
15 Polisi Tanzania 30 6 7 17 25:54 25
16 Ruvu Shooting 30 5 5 20 19:42 20
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)