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Politehnica UTM vs Stauceni Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Nagurnea C.
25' Event
Gandi S.
(Penalty)
27' Event
Galusca D.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Politehnica UTM in this Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Politehnica UTM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Politehnica UTM
15%
Draws
59%
Stauceni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Stauceni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Politehnica UTM have won more games recently than Stauceni.
  • Stauceni are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Politehnica UTM Clean Sheet 16%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Politehnica UTM Stauceni
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.62 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Super Liga
Politehnica UTM vs Stauceni
5:1
Mar 7, 2026 Super Liga
Stauceni vs Politehnica UTM
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Politehnica UTM Compare

Top Goalscorer Noh Nafeng Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gandi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Stauceni Compare

Top Goalscorer Nagurnea C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Politehnica UTM 15 / 100
Stauceni 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Politehnica UTM Stauceni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stauceni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Politehnica UTM scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Stauceni let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Politehnica UTM went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Politehnica UTM VS Stauceni
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Politehnica UTM

(Home)
19 Sept
Politehnica UTM
0 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
12 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Politehnica UTM
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
29 Aug
Politehnica UTM
0 : 0
Real Sireti
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6

Stauceni

(Away)
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1
Victoria
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
Stauceni
1 : 2
FC Chisinau
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 0
Oguzsport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Politehnica UTM 10 6 4 0 20:7 22
2 Real Sireti 10 5 2 3 16:12 17
3 Sparta Selemet 10 4 3 3 15:14 15
4 Floresti 10 2 4 4 9:12 10
5 Iskra Ribnita 10 2 4 4 9:13 10
6 Stauceni 10 0 5 5 9:20 5
Relegation - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)