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Polkowice vs Bytom Odrzanski - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Drzazga K.
67'
Bogacz M.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III game between Polkowice and Bytom Odrzanski finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bytom Odrzanski.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Polkowice
20%
Draws
57%
Bytom Odrzanski
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bytom Odrzanski

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polkowice come out ahead of Bytom Odrzanski on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bytom Odrzanski's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 20%
Bytom Odrzanski Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polkowice Bytom Odrzanski
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 18 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.91 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Bytom Odrzanski
0:1
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Bytom Odrzanski
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Polkowice
0:3
Mar 30, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Bytom Odrzanski vs Polkowice
4:0
Sep 2, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Bytom Odrzanski
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polkowice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Bytom Odrzanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Drzazga K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polkowice 24 / 100
Bytom Odrzanski 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polkowice Bytom Odrzanski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bytom Odrzanski Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polkowice found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Bytom Odrzanski let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Polkowice stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polkowice VS Bytom Odrzanski
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Polkowice

(Home)
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Barycz Sulow
2 : 1
Polkowice
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1
Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 7

Bytom Odrzanski

(Away)
03 Oct
Bytom Odrzanski
0 : 1
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 0
Barycz Sulow
11 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
05 Sept
Bytom Odrzanski
3 : 2
ROW Rybnik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
7 Stilon Gorzow 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)