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Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Polkowice host Stilon Gorzow in the III Liga - Group III. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Polkowice have averaged 1.81 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Stilon Gorzow's 1.45 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Polkowice slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.50) point toward Polkowice. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Polkowice
30%
Draws
47%
Stilon Gorzow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Stilon Gorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Polkowice come out ahead of Stilon Gorzow on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Polkowice Clean Sheet 16%
Stilon Gorzow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polkowice Stilon Gorzow
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 18 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.81 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzow
3:2
Mar 15, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Stilon Gorzow vs Polkowice
1:2
Aug 21, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzow
0:0
May 26, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Stilon Gorzow vs Polkowice
3:4
Feb 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzow
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polkowice 36 / 100
Stilon Gorzow 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polkowice Stilon Gorzow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stilon Gorzow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Polkowice scored in 81% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Stilon Gorzow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Polkowice went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Polkowice VS Stilon Gorzow
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Polkowice

(Home)
02 Oct
Zaglebie II
1 : 1
Polkowice
26 Sept
Polkowice
0 : 1
Bytom Odrzanski
18 Sept
Polkowice
1 : 2
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
12 Sept
Barycz Sulow
2 : 1
Polkowice
06 Sept
Polkowice
2 : 1
Carina Gubin
Page 1 of 8

Stilon Gorzow

(Away)
03 Oct
Stilon Gorzow
2 : 1
Barycz Sulow
26 Sept
Carina Gubin
1 : 3
Stilon Gorzow
19 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
0 : 0
ROW Rybnik
13 Sept
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
4 : 2
Stilon Gorzow
05 Sept
Stilon Gorzow
1 : 1
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BKS Sparta Katowice 11 7 3 1 19:7 24
2 Zaglebie II 11 6 5 0 23:13 23
3 Bytom Odrzanski 11 7 2 2 12:5 23
4 Barycz Sulow 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 10 6 1 3 15:9 19
6 ROW Rybnik 11 5 2 4 23:18 17
7 Stilon Gorzow 11 4 4 3 19:15 16
8 Polkowice 11 4 3 4 19:18 15
9 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora 11 4 3 4 12:9 15
10 Legnica II 11 4 2 5 25:21 14
11 Warta Gorzow 11 3 5 3 11:17 14
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 10:17 12
13 Brzeg 11 3 2 6 18:17 11
14 Goczalkowice Zdroj 11 3 2 6 11:16 11
15 Sleza Wroclaw 11 3 1 7 17:26 10
16 RKS Rakow Czestochowa II 9 2 3 4 12:17 9
17 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 12:24 8
18 Carina Gubin 11 2 2 7 8:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)