Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Polonia Nysa vs Zaglebie II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Marek S.
22' Event
Marek S.
43' Event
Podgorski M.

AI Match Summary

Zaglebie II in this III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zaglebie II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Polonia Nysa
33%
Draws
27%
Zaglebie II
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Polonia Nysa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Polonia Nysa haven't matched Zaglebie II's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Polonia Nysa a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Zaglebie II have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Polonia Nysa Clean Sheet 10%
Zaglebie II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polonia Nysa Zaglebie II
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.13 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Zaglebie II
2:4
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Polonia Nysa
5:2
Jun 2, 2021 III Liga - Group III
Zaglebie II vs Polonia Nysa
3:1
Nov 7, 2020 III Liga - Group III
Polonia Nysa vs Zaglebie II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Nysa Compare

Top Goalscorer Podgorski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Zaglebie II Compare

Top Goalscorer Marek S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nowogonski D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Nysa 38 / 100
Zaglebie II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polonia Nysa Zaglebie II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NYS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

Polonia Nysa scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Zaglebie II let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Away concern: Zaglebie II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Nysa VS Zaglebie II
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057