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Aarhus Fremad

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa play Aarhus Fremad in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polonia Warszawa averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Aarhus Fremad averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia Warszawa won 1, Aarhus Fremad won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Polonia Warszawa and 1.75 for Aarhus Fremad. This points to a Polonia Warszawa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Polonia Warszawa

25%

Draws

30%

Aarhus Fremad

Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Polonia Warszawa picked up more points recently compared to Aarhus Fremad.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 56%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 12%

Aarhus Fremad Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Polonia Warszawa	Aarhus Fremad
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	13	9
Draws	3	11
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.48	1.69
Goals Conceded	1.48	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Club Friendly

Polonia Warszawa vs Aarhus Fremad

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 43 / 100

Aarhus Fremad 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Polonia Warszawa Aarhus Fremad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Polonia Warszawa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12%

2.00

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Polonia Warszawa attacking → ← attacking Aarhus Fremad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Warszawa scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Aarhus Fremad let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Polonia Warszawa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aarhus Fremad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 38

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75