Sport Picks

Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion Polonii

Leczna

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa play Leczna in the Division 1 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Polonia Warszawa averaged 1.54 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Leczna averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. In past meetings, Polonia Warszawa won 3, Leczna won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Polonia Warszawa and 1.25 for Leczna. This points to a Polonia Warszawa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

Polonia Warszawa

15%

Draws

31%

Leczna

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polonia Warszawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Polonia Warszawa picked up more points recently compared to Leczna.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 84%

Over 2.5 Goals 60%

Over 3.5 Goals 36%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 19%

Leczna Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 76%

Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Polonia Warszawa	Leczna
Matches Played	26	24
Wins	13	6
Draws	3	7
Losses	10	11
Goals Scored	1.54	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.58
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 1

Polonia Warszawa vs Leczna

Possession: 60% - 56% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Oct 31, 2025 Division 1

Leczna vs Polonia Warszawa

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Feb 21, 2025 Division 1

Polonia Warszawa vs Leczna

Possession: 57% - 47% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Aug 10, 2024 Division 1

Leczna vs Polonia Warszawa

Possession: 60% - 54% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

May 12, 2024 Division 1

Polonia Warszawa vs Leczna

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Skrabb S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zjawinski L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Leczna Compare

Top Goalscorer Holownia M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 52 / 100

Leczna 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Polonia Warszawa Leczna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Polonia Warszawa Win (1)

Secondary Pick Polonia Warszawa & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.85

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Polonia Warszawa attacking → ← attacking Leczna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Polonia Warszawa scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

Leczna let in goals in 79% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Polonia Warszawa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Leczna lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 25

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wisla	34	20	11	3	72:32	71
2	Slask Wroclaw	34	17	11	6	69:47	62
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	16	9	9	70:47	57
4	Chrobry Glogow	34	16	7	11	48:36	55
5	LKS Lodz	34	15	9	10	56:48	54
6	Polonia Warszawa	34	15	8	11	52:49	53
7	Ruch Chorzow	34	14	11	9	54:46	53
8	Legnica	34	15	7	12	52:53	52
9	Puszcza	34	12	13	9	45:40	49
10	Polonia Bytom	34	13	8	13	56:50	47
11	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	11	12	11	51:54	45
12	Odra Opole	34	11	11	12	34:40	44
13	S. Rzeszow	34	12	7	15	49:60	43
14	Stal Mielec	34	10	6	18	51:62	36
15	Pogon Siedlce	34	9	9	16	33:43	36
16	Pruszkow	34	7	7	20	40:68	28
17	Leczna	34	5	12	17	39:62	27
18	Tychy	34	5	8	21	40:74	23