Sport Picks

Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion Polonii

Polonia Warszawa

1 - 1

Legnica

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

31'

Salihu H.

60'

Sub

Rakip E. In: Petrovic Z.

Out: Rakip E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Polonia Warszawa and Legnica finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Polonia Warszawa

40%

Draws

29%

Legnica

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Legnica haven't matched Polonia Warszawa's recent run of results.
Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 16%

Legnica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Polonia Warszawa	Legnica
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	13	12
Draws	3	7
Losses	11	10
Goals Scored	1.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.75	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Division 1

Polonia Warszawa vs Legnica

Possession: 45% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Sep 14, 2025 Division 1

Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Mar 2, 2025 Division 1

Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

2:3

Aug 17, 2024 Division 1

Polonia Warszawa vs Legnica

Possession: 48% - 42% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Feb 23, 2024 Division 1

Legnica vs Polonia Warszawa

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Zjawinski L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Legnica Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovicic M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polonia Warszawa 31 / 100

Legnica 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Polonia Warszawa Legnica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnica has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Polonia Warszawa scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Polonia Warszawa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Polonia Warszawa VS Legnica

1.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wisla	34	20	11	3	72:32	71
2	Slask Wroclaw	34	17	11	6	69:47	62
3	KS Wieczysta Krakow	34	16	9	9	70:47	57
4	Chrobry Glogow	34	16	7	11	48:36	55
5	LKS Lodz	34	15	9	10	56:48	54
6	Polonia Warszawa	34	15	8	11	52:49	53
7	Ruch Chorzow	34	14	11	9	54:46	53
8	Legnica	34	15	7	12	52:53	52
9	Puszcza	34	12	13	9	45:40	49
10	Polonia Bytom	34	13	8	13	56:50	47
11	Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki	34	11	12	11	51:54	45
12	Odra Opole	34	11	11	12	34:40	44
13	S. Rzeszow	34	12	7	15	49:60	43
14	Stal Mielec	34	10	6	18	51:62	36
15	Pogon Siedlce	34	9	9	16	33:43	36
16	Pruszkow	34	7	7	20	40:68	28
17	Leczna	34	5	12	17	39:62	27
18	Tychy	34	5	8	21	40:74	23