Sport Picks
Polonia Warszawa vs Pogon Siedlce
World
Club Friendly 
AI Match Summary
Polonia Warszawa host Pogon Siedlce in the Club Friendly. This one's hard to separate. Polonia Warszawa have averaged 1.38 scored and 1.88 conceded recently, against Pogon Siedlce's 0.63 scored and 2 conceded. Past meetings favor Polonia Warszawa slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 17, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.25, favoring Polonia Warszawa. Polonia Warszawa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Polonia Warszawa have won more games recently than Pogon Siedlce.
- Model gives Polonia Warszawa a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Polonia Warszawa | Pogon Siedlce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Polonia Warszawa scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Pogon Siedlce let in goals in 77% of their last 26 matches.
Away concern: Pogon Siedlce has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.40 goals.