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Polotsk vs FK Baranovici

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2025/2026
Polotsk Logo

Polotsk

0 - 5
FT
FK Baranovici Logo

FK Baranovici

Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Vasilenko V.
41' Event
Kirko I.
41' Event
Shevchenko M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with FK Baranovici advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Polotsk
20%
Draws
58%
FK Baranovici
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Baranovici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Baranovici come out ahead of Polotsk on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans FK Baranovici's way, sitting at 90%.
  • FK Baranovici arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Baranovici, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Polotsk Clean Sheet 12%
FK Baranovici Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polotsk FK Baranovici
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 1 9
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.3
Goals Conceded 4.1 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 Belarusian Cup
Polotsk vs FK Baranovici
0:5
Oct 8, 2011 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Polotsk
1:2
Jun 19, 2011 Pershaya Liga
Polotsk vs FK Baranovici
2:0
Oct 2, 2010 Pershaya Liga
Polotsk vs FK Baranovici
1:1
Jun 6, 2010 Pershaya Liga
FK Baranovici vs Polotsk
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polotsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

FK Baranovici Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakonechnyi D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vasilenko V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polotsk 10 / 100
FK Baranovici 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polotsk FK Baranovici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Baranovici Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Baranovici has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Polotsk scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Polotsk has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Polotsk VS FK Baranovici
0 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Polotsk

(Home)
27 May
Polotsk
0 : 2
Uni X Labs
21 May
Polotsk
0 : 5
FK Baranovici
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 14
Niva Dolbizno
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 9
ML Vitebsk
24 Oct
Polotsk
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
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FK Baranovici

(Away)
20 Sept
FK Baranovici
0 : 2
FC Gomel
12 Sept
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
0 : 0
FK Baranovici
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1
Dnepr Mogilev
29 Aug
Din. Minsk
0 : 1
FK Baranovici
23 Aug
FK Baranovici
1 : 1
Dynamo Brest
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Stanles Pinsk 0
Volna Pinsk 3
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 2
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Polotsk 0
FK Baranovici 5
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Svisloch 1
FC Slonim 4
TBD -
Neman -
Gazovik Vitebsk 0
Ostrovets 6
TBD -
Slutsk -
FK Miory 0
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 0
Lokomotiv Gomel 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Dnepr Mogilev -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Krechet 0
Osipovichi 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Technolog Mogilev 0
DMedia 6
TBD -
FC Gomel -
FK Inform 0
FK Lida 6
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Belshina -
TBD -
TBD -
Molodechno -
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
Smorgon -
Neman Mosty 0
BumProm Gomel 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
Bobovnya 1
Krumkachy 2
TBD -
Naftan -
Agro Pelishche 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 2
TBD -
BATE -
1/16-finals
Volna Pinsk 2
FC Minsk 3
Orsha 1
Dynamo Brest 8
FK Baranovici 1
ML Vitebsk 2
FC Slonim 1
Neman 0
Ostrovets 0
Slutsk 3
Niva Dolbizno 0
Isloch Minsk 4
Lokomotiv Gomel 1
Din. Minsk 2
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Vitebsk 1
Osipovichi 1
Slavia Mozyr 5
DMedia 0
FC Gomel 2
FK Lida 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Belshina 0
Molodechno 3
Uni X Labs 0
Smorgon 2
BumProm Gomel 0
Zhodino 2
Krumkachy 1
Naftan 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
BATE 1
1/8-finals
FC Minsk 2
Dynamo Brest 3
ML Vitebsk 8
FC Slonim 1
Slutsk 1
Isloch Minsk 2
Din. Minsk 2
Vitebsk 1
Slavia Mozyr 1
FC Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Molodechno 0
Smorgon 0
Zhodino 4
Naftan 3
BATE 4
Quarter-finals
Dynamo Brest 0
ML Vitebsk 4
Isloch Minsk 1
Din. Minsk 2
Slavia Mozyr 4
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 0
Zhodino 1
BATE 2
Semi-finals
ML Vitebsk 0
Din. Minsk 3
Slavia Mozyr 0
BATE 3
Final
Din. Minsk 1
BATE 2