Sport Picks

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Polotsk vs ML Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Belarusian Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Prokopenko V.
10' Event
Trachinskiy I.
14' Event
Trachinskiy I.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-9, with ML Vitebsk advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Polotsk
35%
Draws
45%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ML Vitebsk come out ahead of Polotsk on wins alone.
  • ML Vitebsk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • ML Vitebsk arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor ML Vitebsk, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ML Vitebsk here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Polotsk Clean Sheet 13%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Polotsk ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 1 8
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 1.23 2.33
Goals Conceded 4.1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2022 Belarusian Cup
Polotsk vs ML Vitebsk
0:9
Aug 8, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
ML Vitebsk vs Polotsk
11:1
May 2, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Polotsk vs ML Vitebsk
8:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Polotsk Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Trachinskiy I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Krasnov A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Polotsk 10 / 100
ML Vitebsk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Polotsk ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 10.33 goals.

ML Vitebsk has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Polotsk scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Polotsk remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS ML Vitebsk
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Polotsk

(Home)
27 May
Polotsk
0 : 2
Uni X Labs
21 May
Polotsk
0 : 5
FK Baranovici
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 14
Niva Dolbizno
29 May
Polotsk
0 : 9
ML Vitebsk
24 Oct
Polotsk
3 : 0
Pershiy Region
Page 1 of 6

ML Vitebsk

(Away)
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
23 Aug
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
BATE
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Edinstvo Dzerzhinsk 0
Gazovik Vitebsk 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
BumProm Gomel 0
Molodechno 1
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Shchuchyn 2
Smorgon 5
TBD -
Slutsk -
Svisloch 0
Volna Pinsk 9
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Neman Belkard 1
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 6
TBD -
Zhodino -
Krumkachy 4
FC Slonim 3
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Uni X Labs 0
Naftan 4
TBD -
FC Minsk -
Malorita 1
Ostrovets 2
TBD -
Shakhtyor Soligorsk -
Bobovnya 2
Lokomotiv Gomel 3
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Polotsk 0
ML Vitebsk 9
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Starye Dorogi 1
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Neman -
Niva Dolbizno 1
FK Lida 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Mozyrskiy NPZ 0
Orsha 1
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Technolog Mogilev 3
FK Miory 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Gorki 1
FK Baranovici 2
TBD -
SKA-1938 Minsk -
Stanles Pinsk 3
Zhlobin 2
TBD -
BATE -
1/16-finals
Gazovik Vitebsk 0
Dnepr Mogilev 5
Molodechno 0
Slavia Mozyr 3
Smorgon 1
Slutsk 3
Volna Pinsk 2
Din. Minsk 3
Zhodino Yuzhnoe 0
Zhodino 2
Krumkachy 0
Isloch Minsk 3
Naftan 0
FC Minsk 1
Ostrovets 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Lokomotiv Gomel 0
Dynamo Brest 1
ML Vitebsk 2
Vitebsk 3
Osipovichi 1
Neman 3
FK Lida 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 3
Orsha 1
FC Gomel 3
Technolog Mogilev 2
Belshina 4
FK Baranovici 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
Stanles Pinsk 1
BATE 2
1/8-finals
Dnepr Mogilev 0
Slavia Mozyr 2
Slutsk 1
Din. Minsk 0
Zhodino 1
Isloch Minsk 0
FC Minsk 1
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Dynamo Brest 1
Vitebsk 2
Neman 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
FC Gomel 0
Belshina 1
SKA-1938 Minsk 0
BATE 2
Quarter-finals
Slavia Mozyr 2
Slutsk 1
Zhodino 3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk 2
Vitebsk 1
Neman 2
Belshina 0
BATE 10
Semi-finals
Slavia Mozyr 0
Zhodino 1
Neman 1
BATE 2
Final
Zhodino 2
BATE 0