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Pomezia vs Sarrabus Ogliastra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Nanni L.
13' Event
Teti L.
31' Event
Massella C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Pomezia and Sarrabus Ogliastra finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarrabus Ogliastra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Pomezia
20%
Draws
20%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pomezia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sarrabus Ogliastra come out ahead of Pomezia on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pomezia a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pomezia Clean Sheet 19%
Sarrabus Ogliastra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pomezia Sarrabus Ogliastra
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.93 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 15, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Pomezia vs Sarrabus Ogliastra
3:4
Sep 11, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Pomezia
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pomezia Compare

Top Goalscorer Nanni L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Teti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Sarrabus Ogliastra Compare

Top Goalscorer Ladu P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zanoni E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pomezia 42 / 100
Sarrabus Ogliastra 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pomezia Sarrabus Ogliastra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Sarrabus Ogliastra let in goals in 68% of their last 38 matches.

Sarrabus Ogliastra's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pomezia scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pomezia

(Home)
21 May
Angri
3 : 0
Pomezia
14 May
SS Nola 1925
0 : 1
Pomezia
07 May
Pomezia
2 : 5
SS Nola 1925
30 Apr
Paganese
2 : 0
Pomezia
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0
Aprilia
Page 1 of 6

Sarrabus Ogliastra

(Away)
07 Oct
Latte Dolce
3 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
04 Oct
Latte Dolce
1 : 0
Sarrabus Ogliastra
27 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
2 : 2
Unipomezia
20 Sept
Albalonga
1 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)