Sport Picks
Pomezia vs Tivoli Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 
Match Events
9'
9'
Sfano M.
14'
14'
Teti L.
24'
24'
Nanni L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pomezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Pomezia haven't matched Tivoli Calcio's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Pomezia Clean Sheet 19%
Tivoli Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pomezia | Tivoli Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 36 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 15 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.85 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Pomezia vs Tivoli Calcio
3:3
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Tivoli Calcio vs Pomezia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pomezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Nanni L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Teti L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42
Tivoli Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Sfano M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perrotta F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pomezia 36 / 100
Tivoli Calcio 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pomezia Tivoli Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tivoli Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tivoli Calcio let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Away concern: Tivoli Calcio has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Pomezia scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
- VS Tivoli Calcio
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pomezia
(Home) 21 May
Angri
3 : 0 Pomezia
14 May
SS Nola 1925
0 : 1 Pomezia
07 May
Pomezia
2 : 5 SS Nola 1925
30 Apr
Paganese
2 : 0 Pomezia
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0 Aprilia
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Pomezia
2 : 5 SS Nola 1925
23 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 0 Aprilia
06 Apr
Pomezia
1 : 1 Portici 1906
19 Mar
Pomezia
2 : 1 Atletico Uri
05 Mar
Pomezia
0 : 1 Vis Artena
Page 1 of 3
Tivoli Calcio
(Away) 12 May
Tivoli Calcio
2 : 3 United Riccione
05 May
Tivoli Calcio
1 : 0 Fossombrone
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
21 Apr
Tivoli Calcio
1 : 2 Avezzano
14 Apr
AS Sora
5 : 0 Tivoli Calcio
Page 1 of 8
28 Apr
Vastogirardi
1 : 4 Tivoli Calcio
14 Apr
AS Sora
5 : 0 Tivoli Calcio
23 Mar
Real Monterotondo
2 : 2 Tivoli Calcio
10 Mar
Vigor Senigallia
3 : 0 Tivoli Calcio
25 Feb
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1 Tivoli Calcio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sorrento | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 53:28 | 70 |
| 2 | Paganese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 56:29 | 68 |
| 3 | Casertana | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Arzachena | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 51:40 | 57 |
| 5 | Lupa Frascati | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:29 | 50 |
| 6 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:44 | 49 |
| 7 | Cassino | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 8 | Real Monterotondo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 51:55 | 45 |
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51:54 | 43 |
| 10 | Tivoli Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:39 | 41 |
| 11 | Vis Artena | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 24:28 | 41 |
| 12 | Portici 1906 | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 45:49 | 40 |
| 13 | Angri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39:51 | 39 |
| 14 | Atletico Uri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 45:62 | 39 |
| 15 | Ilvamaddalena | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pomezia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 40:58 | 35 |
| 17 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 44:55 | 35 |
| 18 | Aprilia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:47 | 34 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)
