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Pompei vs Licata

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Minacori C.
86' Event
Troest M.
90' Event
Puntoriere M.

AI Match Summary

Pompei in this Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pompei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Pompei
15%
Draws
17%
Licata
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Licata haven't matched Pompei's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Pompei's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Pompei Clean Sheet 20%
Licata Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompei Licata
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 0.91 1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Licata vs Pompei
3:0
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Pompei vs Licata
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompei Compare

Top Goalscorer Troest M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Puntoriere M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Licata Compare

Top Goalscorer Minacori C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompei 67 / 100
Licata 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompei Licata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompei Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Licata has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pompei stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Licata has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pompei VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompei

(Home)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
Page 1 of 7

Licata

(Away)
11 May
Castrumfavara
2 : 0
Licata
04 May
Nissa
3 : 2
Licata
27 Apr
Licata
3 : 0
Pompei
17 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 0
Licata
13 Apr
Licata
2 : 3
Paterno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siracusa 32 25 3 4 65:16 78
2 Reggina 32 24 5 3 65:22 77
3 Scafatese 32 20 5 7 58:26 65
4 Sambiase 32 15 9 8 40:27 54
5 Vibonese 32 15 5 12 44:31 50
6 Nissa 32 11 13 8 48:49 46
7 Paterno 32 10 14 8 26:32 44
8 USD Ragusa 32 9 11 12 37:37 38
9 Pompei 32 10 8 14 29:42 38
10 Igea Virtus 32 10 7 15 36:47 37
11 Sancataldese 32 7 14 11 28:40 35
12 Enna 32 7 14 11 21:39 35
13 AS Acireale 32 8 10 14 35:50 34
14 Castrumfavara 32 5 15 12 27:40 30
15 Licata 32 8 4 20 33:55 28
16 S. Agata 32 6 9 17 40:54 27
17 Locri 1909 32 6 6 20 32:57 24
18 Akragas 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2024/2025 (Play Out)