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Pompei vs Sarnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Pompei Logo

Pompei

0 - 0
FT
Sarnese Logo

Sarnese

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pompei
20%
Draws
38%
Sarnese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pompei

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sarnese lately — more wins on the board than Pompei.
  • Win probability leans Pompei's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pompei Clean Sheet 16%
Sarnese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompei Sarnese
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 11
Draws 4 13
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.87 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Sarnese vs Pompei
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Sarnese
0:0
Sep 7, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Sarnese vs Pompei
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompei 41 / 100
Sarnese 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompei Sarnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sarnese has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Pompei has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pompei found the back of the net in 40% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Pompei VS Sarnese
1.86 Goals Scored 1.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompei

(Home)
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1
Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2
Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1
Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3
Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1
Heraclea
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Sarnese

(Away)
27 Sept
Ossese
2 : 2
Sarnese
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1
Sarnese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)