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Pompiers vs Ksar

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Sissokho M.
(Penalty)
58' Event
Dieng P.
63' Event
Bouna M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Pompiers
20%
Draws
22%
Ksar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pompiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Pompiers have won more games recently than Ksar.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Pompiers taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Pompiers Clean Sheet 68%
Ksar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompiers Ksar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.07 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Ksar
2:2
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Pompiers
2:3
Feb 25, 2025 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Pompiers
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Ksar
1:1
Feb 16, 2024 Ligue 1
Ksar vs Pompiers
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompiers Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouna M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Hacen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Ksar Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieng P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompiers 95 / 100
Ksar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompiers Ksar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ksar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Pompiers found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Pompiers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pompiers VS Ksar
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompiers

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 6

Ksar

(Away)
24 May
Ksar
1 : 3
Tevragh-Zeina
19 May
Ksar
2 : 3
Nzeidane
09 May
Gendrim
1 : 4
Ksar
04 May
Ksar
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 Apr
Nouadhibou
5 : 0
Ksar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)