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Pompiers vs Police

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Pompiers Logo

Pompiers

1 - 0
FT
Police Logo

Police

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Match Events

62' Event
N'Deil Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Pompiers and Police finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pompiers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Pompiers
30%
Draws
8%
Police
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pompiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Pompiers carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Pompiers's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Pompiers Clean Sheet 68%
Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pompiers Police
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 13 11
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 1
Pompiers vs Police
1:0
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Police vs Pompiers
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pompiers Compare

Top Goalscorer N'Deil Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Police Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pompiers 95 / 100
Police 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pompiers Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pompiers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Pompiers found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Pompiers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pompiers VS Police
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pompiers

(Home)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
18 May
Pompiers
0 : 0
Nouakchott Academy
11 May
SNIM
0 : 1
Pompiers
05 May
Tevragh-Zeina
1 : 1
Pompiers
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 7

Police

(Away)
25 May
Gendrim
2 : 1
Police
20 May
Police
0 : 1
Kaedi
10 May
Nouadhibou
4 : 1
Police
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
12 Apr
Nouakchott Academy
0 : 0
Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)