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Ponferradina B vs Almazan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Elvira C.
40' Event
Albitre J.
68' Event
Diao B.

AI Match Summary

Almazan in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Almazan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Ponferradina B
35%
Draws
57%
Almazan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Almazan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Almazan lately — more wins on the board than Ponferradina B.
  • Win probability leans Almazan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ponferradina B Clean Sheet 17%
Almazan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponferradina B Almazan
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 2 13
Draws 8 13
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.7 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Almazan
1:3
Mar 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Ponferradina B
1:0
Feb 11, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Almazan
3:0
Oct 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Almazan vs Ponferradina B
1:1
Jan 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Almazan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ponferradina B Compare

Top Goalscorer De La Carrera N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Almazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Elvira C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Albitre J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponferradina B 10 / 100
Almazan 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponferradina B Almazan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Almazan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almazan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Ponferradina B's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Ponferradina B remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Almazan
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponferradina B

(Home)
11 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 3
Almazan
05 May
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
Ponferradina B
01 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 2
Villaralbo
27 Apr
Real Avila
2 : 1
Ponferradina B
20 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 0
Bembibre
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Almazan

(Away)
03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2
Palencia CF
27 Sept
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 1
Almazan
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2
Villaralbo
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
06 Sept
Almazan
2 : 1
Unionistas de Salamanca B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Avila 34 23 7 4 52:20 76
2 Salamanca CF UDS 34 21 10 3 62:16 73
3 Atletico Tordesillas 34 19 8 7 44:23 65
4 Leonesa B 34 18 9 7 52:26 63
5 Atletico Astorga 34 15 11 8 39:24 56
6 Palencia CA 34 15 10 9 41:26 55
7 Palencia CF 34 14 11 9 31:28 53
8 Becerril 34 15 6 13 38:42 51
9 Santa Marta Tormes 34 11 10 13 36:43 43
10 La Virgen 34 10 11 13 36:42 41
11 Almazan 34 11 8 15 34:42 41
12 Bembibre 34 10 11 13 34:39 41
13 Burgos CF B 34 10 10 14 30:39 40
14 Mirandes B 34 8 11 15 28:38 35
15 Villaralbo 34 8 9 17 30:45 33
16 CD Laguna (Valladolid) 34 8 5 21 27:57 29
17 Colegios Diocesanos 34 4 13 17 14:41 25
18 Ponferradina B 34 2 8 24 22:59 14
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 (Play Offs)