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Ponferradina B vs CD Aguilar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CD Aguilar in this Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Aguilar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Ponferradina B
20%
Draws
70%
CD Aguilar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Aguilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CD Aguilar lately — more wins on the board than Ponferradina B.
  • Model gives CD Aguilar a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ponferradina B Clean Sheet 18%
CD Aguilar Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponferradina B CD Aguilar
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 2 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 24 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Ponferradina B
2:2
Nov 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs CD Aguilar
1:3
Feb 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs CD Aguilar
0:1
Oct 9, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Ponferradina B
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponferradina B 28 / 100
CD Aguilar 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponferradina B CD Aguilar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Aguilar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Aguilar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ponferradina B found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (36 games).

Recent resilience: Ponferradina B stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponferradina B VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponferradina B

(Home)
11 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 3
Almazan
05 May
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0
Ponferradina B
01 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 2
Villaralbo
27 Apr
Real Avila
2 : 1
Ponferradina B
20 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 0
Bembibre
Page 1 of 8

CD Aguilar

(Away)
13 May
Palencia CA
3 : 3
CD Aguilar
06 May
CD Aguilar
4 : 2
CD Bejar Industrial
01 May
La Granja
1 : 0
CD Aguilar
28 Apr
CD Aguilar
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
23 Apr
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
CD Aguilar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 25 9 4 75:23 84
2 Villaralbo 38 25 8 5 83:36 83
3 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 9 5 68:26 81
4 Arandina 38 23 9 6 61:26 78
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 20 9 9 67:25 69
6 Almazan 38 14 13 11 55:51 55
7 Real Avila 38 14 13 11 48:44 55
8 CD Iscar 38 15 8 15 48:62 53
9 Numancia B 38 14 11 13 58:49 53
10 Bembibre 38 15 7 16 56:46 52
11 Club Deportivo Huracan Z 38 13 12 13 30:37 51
12 Atletico Astorga 38 12 14 12 39:44 50
13 CD Aguilar 38 13 9 16 41:60 48
14 Ponferradina B 38 11 9 18 45:49 42
15 Palencia CA 38 9 11 18 27:43 38
16 Atletico Tordesillas 38 9 8 21 33:65 35
17 Racing Lermeno 38 7 11 20 29:61 32
18 CD Cebrerena 38 8 6 24 42:92 30
19 Santa Marta Tormes 38 6 11 21 36:68 29
20 CF Venta de Banos 38 6 7 25 30:64 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)