Sport Picks
Ponferradina B vs Villaralbo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada 
Match Events
33'
33'
Magarino D.
43'
43'
Moreta M.
45'
45'
De La Carrera N.
AI Match Summary
Villaralbo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Villaralbo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villaralbo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Villaralbo have won more games recently than Ponferradina B.
- Win probability leans Villaralbo's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Villaralbo here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ponferradina B Clean Sheet 20%
Villaralbo Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ponferradina B | Villaralbo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 2 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 20 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.7 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Villaralbo
1:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Ponferradina B
3:1
Jan 28, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Ponferradina B vs Villaralbo
0:2
Sep 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Ponferradina B
7:0
Jan 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Villaralbo vs Ponferradina B
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ponferradina B Compare
Top Goalscorer De La Carrera N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Villaralbo Compare
Top Goalscorer Magarino D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Moreta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ponferradina B 10 / 100
Villaralbo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ponferradina B Villaralbo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Villaralbo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Villaralbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 33 matches.
Ponferradina B found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).
Ponferradina B went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Villaralbo
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Ponferradina B
(Home) 11 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 3 Almazan
05 May
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 Ponferradina B
01 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 2 Villaralbo
27 Apr
Real Avila
2 : 1 Ponferradina B
20 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 0 Bembibre
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 3 Almazan
01 May
Ponferradina B
1 : 2 Villaralbo
20 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 0 Bembibre
07 Apr
Ponferradina B
0 : 1 Becerril
24 Mar
Ponferradina B
3 : 0 La Virgen
Page 1 of 3
Villaralbo
(Away) 03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2 Villaralbo
26 Sept
Villaralbo
4 : 0 Salamanca CF UDS B
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2 Villaralbo
13 Sept
Villaralbo
1 : 2 Santa Marta Tormes
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0 Villaralbo
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
Calasanz de Soria
2 : 2 Villaralbo
19 Sept
Almazan
2 : 2 Villaralbo
06 Sept
Burgos CF B
1 : 0 Villaralbo
09 May
Mirandes B
4 : 2 Villaralbo
26 Apr
Unionistas de Salamanca B
0 : 1 Villaralbo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Avila | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 52:20 | 76 |
| 2 | Salamanca CF UDS | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 62:16 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 44:23 | 65 |
| 4 | Leonesa B | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 52:26 | 63 |
| 5 | Atletico Astorga | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 39:24 | 56 |
| 6 | Palencia CA | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 41:26 | 55 |
| 7 | Palencia CF | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 31:28 | 53 |
| 8 | Becerril | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | 51 |
| 9 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36:43 | 43 |
| 10 | La Virgen | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:42 | 41 |
| 11 | Almazan | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 34:42 | 41 |
| 12 | Bembibre | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 34:39 | 41 |
| 13 | Burgos CF B | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 30:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Mirandes B | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 28:38 | 35 |
| 15 | Villaralbo | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:45 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Laguna (Valladolid) | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 17 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 14:41 | 25 |
| 18 | Ponferradina B | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 22:59 | 14 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
