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Ponferradina vs Celta Vigo B

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio El Toralín, Ponferrada
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Lopez A.
40'
Keita A.
54'
Lopez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ponferradina
6%
Draws
90%
Celta Vigo B
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Celta Vigo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ponferradina have won more games recently than Celta Vigo B.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Celta Vigo B taking it.
  • Ponferradina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ponferradina Clean Sheet 24%
Celta Vigo B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ponferradina Celta Vigo B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 13
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Ponferradina
4:1
Jun 13, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Celta Vigo B
0:0
Feb 8, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Ponferradina vs Celta Vigo B
0:0
Nov 23, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Ponferradina
2:0
Mar 2, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Celta Vigo B vs Ponferradina
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ponferradina 10 / 100
Celta Vigo B 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ponferradina Celta Vigo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo B has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ponferradina scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Ponferradina stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ponferradina VS Celta Vigo B
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ponferradina

(Home)
29 Jul
Real Oviedo
4 : 0
Ponferradina
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1
Ponferradina
13 Jun
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
06 Jun
Atl. Madrid B
0 : 1
Ponferradina
30 May
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
Page 1 of 6

Celta Vigo B

(Away)
25 Jul
Lugo
1 : 1
Celta Vigo B
20 Jun
Celta Vigo B
4 : 1
Ponferradina
13 Jun
Ponferradina
0 : 0
Celta Vigo B
07 Jun
Celta Vigo B
3 : 2
CE Europa
31 May
CE Europa
1 : 1
Celta Vigo B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Celta Vigo B4
CE Europa3
Atl. Madrid B0
Ponferradina1
Sabadell3
Real Madrid B2
Zamora2
Villarreal B2
Final
Celta Vigo B4
Ponferradina1
Sabadell4
Zamora1